February 27, 2008

Acapulco Second Round

Draw
OOP
Livescores




Agustin Calleri (ARG)
vs.
Juan Ignacio Chela (ARG)
Previous meetings: Calleri leads 9-4.



Battle of two former winners of the Mexican Open in Acapulco (in fact Chela is the defending champion), both who have impressive records here: 14-4 for Calleri in 5 visits and Chela is 16-5. All Argentine encounters are usually tight and nervy affairs as the players know each other inside out, but Calleri has had the upper hand in most of the recent meetings with Chela. He has won 4 of their last 5 matches on clay, and the one loss actually came here in Acapulco last year when he was leading 6-4 5-5 before pulling his hamstring and having to retire... Chela took full advantage of that bit of luck and went on to win the title. I expect that incident will still be on Calleri's mind and he will be determined to put things right and finish the job he should have a year ago.

Matchup-wise this match is very much dependent on Calleri, he will be the one calling the shots here. Chela has been dreadful so far in 2008 and may be desperate to regain some confidence at an event he clearly likes, but if Calleri is firing he has enough firepower to hit right through consistent baseliners who just hit the ball back to him as indicated by his recent wins over the likes of Robredo, Hewitt, Monaco or Ferrer. The temperatures have been high in Acapulco which will make the clay faster to play on and that has to favour the more aggressive Calleri who will look to finish points off early when he can. As the slight underdog he is at a great price although those odds have already come in since I took them, but anything around evens is worth a shot as I believe Calleri should be the favourite in this one. Good luck.

Calleri to beat Chela @ 2.10 (5 units to win 5.5 units) WIN

Result: Calleri def. Chela 7-6(4) 2-6 6-1.

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